Saturday, March 14, 2009

Espn Bracketology

ESPN Bracketology fame, the man who successfully picked all 65 teams in last year's tournament field, had eight teams from the Big Ten going into Friday's action. Jerry Palm, of collegerpi.com, also had eight Big Ten teams in the field. His selections also were going into Friday's play. Coming out of Friday, however, I have to think Penn State, Minnesota and Michigan are going to have a long 36 hours or so until Selection Sunday rolls around.
My personal take right now is that five Big Ten teams should be locked (Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois, Ohio State and Wisconsin in that order), while Minnesota and Michigan have probably also done enough. So I would go with seven. But I think Penn State's play against Purdue Friday night, coupled with a few other upsets in conference tournaments around the country, have the Nittany Lions in a precarious position.
Penn State is 22-11 with quality wins against Michigan State, Illinois (twice) and Purdue, all within the conference. The Lions also beat Georgia Tech on the road in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. But in the last three games, Penn State lost in double overtime at Iowa, beat an IU team with an RPI of 211 in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament and then gave up 51 points in the first half Friday to Purdue before losing by 14.

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